Labour head into what is expected to be an autumn general election with all the leading claims, as bookmakers price them at odds-on to secure a majority. See full next UK general election odds, including dates, number of seats and overall majorities.
Prime Minister Rishi Sunak has already confirmed he expects to call the next general election in the “second half of 2024”, but either way it must be held by the end of January 2025.
Despite recent by-election defeats at the hands of the Labour Party, the expectation is that the incumbent Prime Minister will not be budged on the election date, which is expected to be called in the autumn of 2024.
Recent opinion polls all seemingly point towards a first defeat since 2007 for the Conservatives. Find the next UK general election odds below as instantcasinos provides the inside track ahead of a momentous year in Westminster.
Next UK General Election Odds
Most Seats
- Labour 1/10
- Conservatives 13/2
- Reform UK 50/1
- Liberal Democrats 250/1
- Green Party 1000/1
- UKIP 5000/1
The latest percentage polls only reveal half of the story – the UK’s first-past-the-post electoral system works so that the party with the most seats wins the election, rather than actual votes.
However, this is likely to make little difference as and when the election results are announced. Labour have been firmly in the driving seat in the polls since the start of 2022, and recent by-election victories in constituencies such as Wellingborough and Kingswood resulted in huge swings in their favour to overturn Tory majorities.
This momentum shift is reflective of the general public’s increasing disenchantment with the Conservative government. Their austerity-driven incumbency has been underlined by Coronavirus mishandlings, ‘Partygate’ scandals and four different leaders in the space of eight years.
A core of Tory supporters will continue to hope for a party re-build whilst still in power beyond the next election, but those swing voters with no set allegiances are likely to side with Labour. So too previously loyal Tory voters who have become disillusioned with a failing government.
Labour are now as short as 1/10 to secure the most seats at the next general election.
Overall Majority
- Labour Majority 1/5
- Hung Parliament 5/1
- Conservative Majority 10/1
- Reform UK Majority 500/1
- Liberal Democrat Majority 1000/1
326 seats are needed for a majority win, and if the latest polls are any indication of what may transpire at the next election, a victory overwhelmingly in favour of the Labour Party looks likely.
Current opposition leader Kier Starmer and the rest of the party are just 1/5 to secure a majority victory at the next general election, which is a damning reflection of the Tory’s chances of extending their 14 years in power.
As per the latest polls from Electoral Calculus, Labour are projected to win 455 seats, which would surpass their own party record of 415 set by Tony Blair in 1997’s landslide victory.
Blair’s victory in the 1997 General Election also marked the largest majority since the Reform Act of 1832 having secured 179 more seats than the Conservatives.
If the upcoming general election was to be held at this very moment, the polls suggest Labour would win by a resounding, record-breaking majority of 342 seats.
Total Seats By Party
- Total Labour Seats – Over 450.5 10/11 | Under 450.5 10/11
- Total Conservative Seats – Over 116.5 4/5 | Under 116.5 EVS
- Total Liberal Democrat Seats – Over 31.5 4/5 | Under 31.5 EVS
- Total SNP Seats – Over 23.5 11/10 | Under 23.5 8/11
- Total Green Party Seats – Over 1.5 7/4 | Under 1.5 4/9
- Total Reform Seats – Over 0.5 2/1 | Under 0.5 2/5
With Labour as short as 1/5 to secure the overall majority, it is seemingly a question of by how much, rather than ‘if’ they will win.
Bookmakers are choosing to remain coy over how many seats they will eventually win, likely due to the fact it is projected to be a lofty number.
As many as 148 Tory seats are supposedly at risk of being flipped, and one study conducted by Find Out Now indicates that Rishi Sunak is on course to lose around three-quarters of the Conservatives’ seats.
This would leave them with around 80 seats, which would be their lowest election result ever. It is no surprise to see their implied total set so low at 116.5 seats, with the ‘under’ now slashed to EVS.
Date of the election
- Before 31st March 2024 500/1
- April to June 2024 9/2
- July to September 2024 16/1
- October to December 2024 2/7
- In 2025 9/1
Much to the delight of the vast majority eager to oust the Conservative government, suggestions of a spring general election began to gather momentum as the pressure piled on Rishi Sunak.
However, the Prime Minister’s comments in January indicating that it would be held in the “second half of 2024” has ended any speculation of an imminent election.
Sunak and the Tories are likely biding their time in order to gather what momentum they can, but also to hold on to their waining power ahead of an expected era-defining defeat.
